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Section[ PART I - Strategic Overview

Title[ WHY OUR STRATEGY IS (AND MUST BE) CONDITIONS-BASED

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       


WHY OUR STRATEGY IS (AND MUST BE) CONDITIONS-BASED


-- Success in the short, medium, and long run will depend on progress in overcoming these

challenges and on the conditions on the ground in Iraq.  Our strategy - along the political,

security, and economic tracks - is establishing the conditions for victory.  These conditions

include:


- Progress in the Iraqi political process and the increasing willingness of Iraqis to forge

political compromises;


- Consolidation of gains in the training of Iraqi Security Forces (ISF);


- Commitment to and implementation of economic reforms by Iraqi leaders;


- Increased cooperation of Iraq's neighbors;


- Expanded support from the international community;


- Continued support of the American people.

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-- Although we are confident of victory in Iraq, we will not put a date certain on when each stage

of success will be reached - because the timing of success depends upon meeting certain

conditions, not arbitrary timetables.


- Arbitrary deadlines or timetables for withdrawal of Coalition forces - divorced from

conditions on the ground - would be irresponsible and deadly, as they would suggest to the

terrorists, Saddamists, and rejectionists that they can simply wait to win.


- No war has ever been won on a timetable - and neither will this one.


-- Lack of a timetable, however, does not mean that the Coalition's posture in Iraq (both military

and political) is static.  On the contrary, we continually adjust our posture and approaches as

conditions evolve and Iraqi capabilities grow.


- Coalition troop levels, for example, will increase where necessary to defeat the enemy or

provide additional security for key events like the referendum and elections.  But troop levels

will decrease over time, as Iraqis continue to take on more of the security and civilian

responsibilities themselves.


- We expect, but cannot guarantee, that our force posture will change over the next year, as

the political process consolidates and as Iraqi Security Forces grow and gain experience.


> As Iraqis take on more responsibility for security, Coalition forces will increasingly

move to supporting roles in most areas.  The mission of our forces will change - from

conducting operations and keeping the peace, to more specialized operations targeted at

the most vicious terrorists and leadership networks.


> As security conditions improve and as Iraqi Security Forces become increasingly

capable of securing their own country, our forces will increasingly move out of the

cities, reduce the number of bases from which we operate, and conduct fewer patrols

and convoy missions.


> While our military presence may become less visible, it will remain lethal and

decisive, able to confront the enemy wherever it may gather and organize.


- As our posture changes over time, so too will the posture of our Coalition partners.  We and

the Iraqis must work with them to coordinate our efforts, helping Iraq to consolidate and

secure its gains on many different fronts.



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